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Reviewing the Yankees’ 2022 Projections: Steamer

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Earlier this month, I broke down the Yankees’ 2022 ZiPS projections which are published at FanGraphs. Also on display at FG is Steamer, another projection system that I’ll take a look at today. And once Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA is published, I’ll get to that one as well.

On the whole, Steamer projects the Yankees to accumulate roughly +49 WAR. That’s three more than ZiPS and translates to a high-90s win ballclub as presently constituted. Granted, the process of adding up the WAR is often foolhardy, but it serves as a reminder that the Yankees should still be very good in 2022. Now, to the individual player projections:

Game 142: Yanks stop skid; Aaron Judge is my MVP

Wow. It is hard to overstate how big that game was. Staring down the barrel of an 8 game losing streak and losing their hold on a playoff spot, the Yankees fought back in this one. After going up 5-0 only to find themselves down 7-5 after 7 innings, the team showed a ton of resilience putting across 3 runs in the 8th to retake the lead. And after some shaky middle relief, Albert Abreu and Aroldis Chapman locked things down to secure to victory. Aaron Boone described it as “just about a perfect night” and in the end it was. Let’s get to the takeaways:

Game 139: Still free falling

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Another night, another loss. All of the goodwill from the 13-game winning streak has already run out, but it just keeps getting worse. With this 6-3 defeat at the hands of the Blue Jays, the Yankees are now 2-9 since the streak ended. Additionally, Boston eclipsed the Yankees for the top Wild Card spot tonight and Toronto is one behind the Yankees in the loss column. Simply put: the Yankees hold on a playoff spot is tenuous right now and I’m having a hard time finding reason for optimism.

These takeaways are on the shorter side because all of us had pretty busy work days and/or personal commitments. Not that you want to read a long-winded recap of this one, I presume. Let’s get to it.

Game 135: #%&*!@*

With their hopes for the division all but buried, the Yankees lost a frustratingly winnable game to the frustratingly beatable Baltimore Orioles this afternoon, 4-3. Joey Gallo’s late-inning heroics were not enough to overcome six innings of an offensive blackout and shaky pitching, and the Yankees are now looking at a 7-game deficit in the AL East if the Rays hold their lead against Minnesota today. To the takeaways –

Game 104: Yanks mount comeback to sweep Marlins

They finally did it! After being 4-10 in potential sweep clinching games and 13-25 in day games, the Yankees pulled off the comeback win fueled by some poor defense by the Marlins to win this one for the sweep. That is their first series sweep since June against the Blue Jays. They are now a season-high 8 games over .500 at 56-48 and just 1 game back in the loss column for a playoff spot. And, they play their next 10 against the lowly Orioles, Mariners, and Royals. To the takeaways:

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